Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2442
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 2442 · MSY → DAL
departs 5:26 PM CT · arrives 7:03 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±5 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MSY that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at DAL that day
↓
MSY usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.11 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.