Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2444
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2444 · PHX → SEA
departs 5:36 PM MT · arrives 7:31 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
73%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
73%
Yes 73%
No 27%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
31%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SEA that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 1.78 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.