Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2463
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2463 · LAX → BNA
departs 11:05 PM PT · arrives 5:14 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 30%
Thu 11/5 45%
Fri 11/6 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±4 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.1d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 5.66667 mi Precip 0.30 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.83 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.