Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2492
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2492 · LAS → ELP
departs 10:40 PM PT · arrives 1:32 AM MT
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±8 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
62%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.1d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 53% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Arrive at ELP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ELP?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.21 in
ELP (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.