Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2510
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 2510 · LAX → SJC
departs 7:39 PM PT · arrives 9:02 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 37%
Thu 11/5 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed – in 24h
–
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 57% · changed – in 24h
–
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at SJC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJC?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from LAX are often late
↓
0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.30 in
SJC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.