Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 251
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 251 · BNA → PNS
departs 7:51 PM CT · arrives 9:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at PNS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PNS?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from BNA are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at PNS that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
PNS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.77 in
PNS (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.50 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.