Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2527
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 2527 · LGA → BNA
departs 6:55 PM ET · arrives 8:07 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 65%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 52%
Thu 11/5 54%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from LGA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BNA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.