Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 256 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

WN 256 · DAL → CLE

departs 5:16 PM CT · arrives 8:58 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 49h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

CLE (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 256 · DAL → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?