Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2577
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 2577 · LGB → SJC
departs 4:44 PM PT · arrives 6:09 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 24%
Thu 11/5 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave LGB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at SJC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJC?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
SJC is prone to delays
↓
LGB usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC
Weather at each end
LGB (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.34 in
SJC (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.