Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2589
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 2589 · LIH → HNL
departs 3:45 PM HT · arrives 4:40 PM HT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 23%
Tue 11/3 18%
Wed 11/4 20%
Thu 11/5 26%
Fri 11/6 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↓
This flight has been late 5% of the time recently
↓
LIH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LIH (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.01 in
HNL (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.