Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2590
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 2590 · LIH → HNL
departs 7:04 PM HT · arrives 7:59 PM HT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 20%
Tue 11/3 16%
Wed 11/4 15%
Thu 11/5 21%
Fri 11/6 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Other factors
↓
LIH usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 5% of the time recently
Weather at each end
LIH (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.01 in
HNL (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.