Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2596
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2596 · LAX → SJC
departs 10:11 PM PT · arrives 11:33 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
54%
chance · ±8 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
54%
Leave 15+ late
64%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 58% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Arrive at SJC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJC?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
10pm departures from LAX are often late
↓
0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 6.33333 mi Precip 0.30 in
SJC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.