Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2604
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2604 · MAF → HOU
departs 7:27 PM CT · arrives 9:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 19%
Thu 11/5 22%
Fri 11/6 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MAF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MAF (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
HOU (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.