Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2640
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 2640 · MCI → MCO
departs 5:44 PM CT · arrives 9:28 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 30%
Thu 11/5 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, 1.5 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,867 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.54 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.