Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2650 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow

WN 2650 · DAL → ELP

departs 8:01 PM CT · arrives 8:51 PM MT

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±8 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ELP?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 8pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

ELP (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2650 · DAL → ELP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELP?