Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2686
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 2686 · BUR → DEN
departs 2:41 PM PT · arrives 5:59 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 45%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 34%
Tue 11/3 33%
Wed 11/4 25%
Thu 11/5 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
BUR is prone to delays
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 5.66667 mi Precip 0.21 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.