Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2687
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2687 · MCO → BNA
departs 8:37 PM ET · arrives 9:41 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 33%
Thu 11/5 38%
Fri 11/6 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
66%
chance · ±5 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
66%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.64 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.