Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 269
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 269 · LAS → SEA
departs 10:47 PM PT · arrives 1:26 AM PT
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±6 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.1d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
10pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SEA that day
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.21 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.