Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2706
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2706 · STL → AUS
departs 9:51 PM CT · arrives 12:09 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from STL are often late
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS
↓
STL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
STL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.03 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 7 kt
Ceiling 7,000 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.