Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2709
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 2709 · ABQ → BNA
departs 4:16 PM MT · arrives 8:06 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±12 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ABQ that day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
ABQ usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ABQ (origin)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.32 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.73 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.