Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2714
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2714 · ABQ → LAS
departs 6:06 PM MT · arrives 6:46 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
65%
chance · ±11 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
65%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Leave ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ABQ that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
ABQ usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ABQ (origin)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.51 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.