Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2716
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 2716 · MCO → DEN
departs 6:04 PM ET · arrives 7:53 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 99%
Sat 10/31 32%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 35%
Tue 11/3 32%
Wed 11/4 26%
Thu 11/5 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
62%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 1.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
6pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,867 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.36 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.