Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2727
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 2727 · SAN → MCO
departs 1:46 PM PT · arrives 9:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
27%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, 1.5 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at SAN that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.44 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,867 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.