Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2729
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 2729 · DAL → TPA
departs 5:41 PM CT · arrives 9:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±6 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
56%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 54% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at DAL that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,767 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.62 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.