Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2736
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2736 · MCO → LAS
departs 8:55 PM ET · arrives 10:41 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Thu 11/5 36%
Fri 11/6 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±4 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.46 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.