Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2746
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 2746 · MCO → MDW
departs 5:24 PM ET · arrives 7:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Tue 11/3 24%
Wed 11/4 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
52%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
52%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
24%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed – in 24h
–
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
24%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, 1.5 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
5pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.54 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.