Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 274
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 274 · BNA → SAV
departs 4:50 PM CT · arrives 7:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 26%
Thu 11/5 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed – in 24h
–
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at SAV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAV?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
4pm departures from BNA are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.58 in
SAV (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.