Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2753
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2753 · MCO → STL
departs 7:27 PM ET · arrives 9:02 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 36%
Thu 11/5 37%
Fri 11/6 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±4 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
7pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
STL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.64 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 333 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.