WN 2781 · MCO → HOU

departs 7:51 PM ET · arrives 9:16 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

81% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
19%
15–30 min late
39%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MCO that day

↑ 7pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at HOU that day

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.58 in

HOU (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2781 · MCO → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?