Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2783
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 2783 · MCO → PIT
departs 6:07 PM ET · arrives 8:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/31 33%
Sun 11/1
Tue 11/3 26%
Wed 11/4 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
24%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed – in 24h
–
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
24%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, 1.5 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,867 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.54 in
PIT (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.