Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 287
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 287 · CMH → MCO
departs 6:06 PM ET · arrives 8:22 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
47%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
47%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
9%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 1.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,867 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.