WN 2889 · MDW → AUS

took off 5:13 AM CT · landed 7:20 AM CT (scheduled 5:14 AM CT → 7:54 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to AUS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AUS is prone to delays

↑ MDW is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.18 in

AUS (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2889 · MDW → AUS

Odds over time

How late did it get to AUS?