Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2892
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2892 · BNA → TPA
departs 6:06 PM CT · arrives 8:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±5 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from BNA are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.32 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.62 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.