Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2894
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 2894 · BUR → PHX
departs 2:02 PM PT · arrives 4:42 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
74%
chance · ±4 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
74%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
74%
Yes 74%
No 26%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
25%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
33%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.16 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 1.46 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.