Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2953
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2953 · MCO → RSW
departs 10:41 PM ET · arrives 11:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 8:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±3 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
10pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
RSW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.46 in
RSW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,533 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.70 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.