Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2956
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2956 · DAL → PNS
departs 8:36 PM CT · arrives 10:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Sun 11/1
Odds over time
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at PNS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PNS?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at PNS that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
PNS (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.50 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.