Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2999
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2999 · OAK → SAN
departs 10:31 PM PT · arrives 12:12 AM PT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±4 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.1d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at SAN that day
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
OAK (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.