Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3038
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3038 · LAS → PIT
departs 6:53 PM PT · arrives 2:02 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±2 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
PIT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.14 in
PIT (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.