Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3041
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3041 · MCO → ALB
departs 8:46 PM ET · arrives 11:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±1 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at ALB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to ALB?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ALB
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.46 in
ALB (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.