Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3073
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3073 · MDW → FLL
departs 7:56 PM CT · arrives 11:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±2 pts
−12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, 1.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,033 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.