Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3085
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 3085 · BHM → TPA
departs 5:26 PM CT · arrives 8:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
31%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave BHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
BHM usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BHM (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 933 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.22 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,767 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.62 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.