Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3097
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 3097 · DEN → SAN
departs 4:01 PM MT · arrives 5:33 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±6 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SAN that day
↑
4pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
SAN (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.44 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.