Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3102
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3102 · MSY → DAL
departs 9:55 PM CT · arrives 11:31 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Tue 11/3 33%
Wed 11/4 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±5 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.08 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.