Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3142 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow

WN 3142 · PHX → AUS

departs 8:46 PM MT · arrives 12:09 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 8:00 AM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±5 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
43%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at PHX that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from PHX are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precip1.64 in

AUS (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3142 · PHX → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?