Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3159
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3159 · MSY → MCO
departs 6:56 PM CT · arrives 9:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.11 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.64 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.