Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3190
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 3190 · PHX → HOU
departs 3:21 PM MT · arrives 6:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
69%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
69%
Leave 15+ late
67%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 54% · changed – in 24h
–
67%
Yes 67%
No 33%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
32%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from PHX are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 1.46 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.