Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3191
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3191 · PHX → ELP
departs 5:36 PM MT · arrives 6:59 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
73%
chance · ±8 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
73%
Leave 15+ late
73%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
73%
Yes 73%
No 27%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
73%
Yes 73%
No 27%
Arrive at ELP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ELP?
On time or early
26%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 1.78 in
ELP (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.