Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3199
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3199 · ABQ → LAS
departs 9:06 PM MT · arrives 9:45 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±10 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
64%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 40 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ABQ that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
ABQ usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ABQ (origin)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.45 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.