Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3216
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 3216 · OGG → HNL
departs 1:52 PM HT · arrives 2:48 PM HT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Sat 10/31 12%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 20%
Tue 11/3 19%
Wed 11/4 22%
Thu 11/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into HNL at that hour are often late
↓
This flight has been late 6% of the time recently
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
OGG (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip none
HNL (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.