WN 3234 · OAK → SAN

departs 7:54 AM PT · arrives 9:29 AM PT

Your aircraft is N8751R (B38M), coming in as WN 3311 from ONT: landed 6:46 AM PT.

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at SAN that day

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from OAK are usually not late

Weather at each end

OAK (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.34 in

SAN (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.30 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3234 · OAK → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?